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The DIBBS Method in Product Management: A Practical Framework

Dhaval Thakur
2 min read4 days ago

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Product managers constantly navigate uncertainty while making decisions about features, user needs, and business priorities. The DIBBS framework: Data, Insights, Beliefs, Bets, and Surprises offers a structured approach to reduce risk and improve product success. Let’s break down each component with real-world examples.

DIBBS Method

1. Data: The Foundation of Decision-Making

Definition: Data consists of raw facts and numbers collected from various sources such as user analytics, customer feedback, surveys, or A/B tests.

Example: Imagine you are a product manager for an e-commerce platform. Your data shows that 65% of users abandon their shopping carts before completing a purchase.

2. Insights: Deriving Meaning from Data

Definition: Insights emerge when data is analyzed and contextualized to reveal patterns, user behaviors, or pain points.

Example: Analyzing the shopping cart abandonment data, you find that most drop-offs happen on the payment page. User interviews reveal that customers find the checkout process too complex and time-consuming.

3. Beliefs: Forming Hypotheses for Action

Definition: Beliefs are assumptions formed based on insights. They help guide decision-making and strategy.

Example: Based on your insights, you believe that reducing the number of checkout steps and offering a guest checkout option will improve conversion rates.

4. Bets: Testing Hypotheses with Actionable Steps

Definition: Bets are experiments or strategic initiatives based on beliefs. These could be feature launches, A/B tests, or product pivots.

Example: You roll out an A/B test where 50% of users see a simplified two-step checkout process with a guest checkout option, while the other 50% experience the existing multi-step process.

5. Surprises: Learning and Iterating

Definition: Surprises are unexpected outcomes — both positive and negative — that provide new learnings and help refine…

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Dhaval Thakur
Dhaval Thakur

Written by Dhaval Thakur

Data Enthusiast, Geek, part — time blogger. Every week 1 new Data Science/ Product Management story 🖥 I also write on Python, scripting & blockchain

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